10권 2호_ 이기동_북한의 권력구조 진단과 변화 전망

2006년 10권 2호. 북한의 권력구조 진단과 변화 전망 _ 이기동

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This essay examined the structure of the North Korean power hierachy and showed the prospects for the possibility and direction of its change. In short, the power structure is stable, factors backing it up are changing, keeping pace with the changing environments and conditions within and without. North Korea will likely continue to adjust the structure of its power hierachy in a way to counter the changing internal and external environments and conditions, focusing on the establishment of a successin system. It will also likely push ahead with the adjustment of the rulingidelogy and the reconstruction and realignment of the party organizations in the context of the succession system. The nuclear issue will serve as an important variablefor the establishment of a new power structure. It will be so because the period for a solution to the nuclear issue and for the establishment of a succession system will run parallel. The nuclear issue will also have to affect its ruling ideology, internal and external policies and succession scenario. In other words, the nuclear issue is connected, directly or indirectly, to questions regarding the durability of the military-first ideology, programs for reform and opening, and exposure of North Korea`s succession plot, if any.

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